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"Omnia
mutantur, nos et mutamur in illis" (All things change, and
we change with them.)
"FUTURE,
n. That period of time in which our affairs prosper, our
friends are true and our happiness is assured."
from THE DEVIL'S DICTIONARY by Ambrose Bierce
Murphy's
Technology Law #2: Logic is a systematic method of coming to
the wrong conclusion with confidence.
Murphy's
Technology Law #7: <br> All great discoveries are made by
mistake.
On
getting the future right!
"Computers
in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons."
--Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science,
1949
"I
think there is a world market for maybe five computers."
--Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
"I
have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with
the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad
that won't last out the year."
--The editor in
charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"But
what is it good for?"
--Engineer at the Advanced
Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
"There
is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
--Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment
Corp., 1977
"This
'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a
means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to
us."
--Western Union internal memo, 1876.
"The
wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay
for a message sent to nobody in particular?"
--David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for
investment in the radio in the 1920s.
"The
concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better
than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible."
--A Yale
University management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper
proposing reliable overnight delivery service.
(Smith went on to found Federal Express Corp.)
"A
cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say
America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you
make."
--Response to Debbi Fields' idea of
starting Mrs. Fields'Cookies.
"I'm
just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not Gary
Cooper."
--Gary Cooper on his decision not to
take the leading role in "Gone With The Wind."
"We
don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out."
--Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.
"Heavier-than-air
flying machines are impossible."
--Lord Kelvin,
president, Royal Society, 1895.
"Drill
for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're
crazy."
--Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to
enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859.
"Stocks
have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau."
--Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
"Airplanes
are interesting toys but of no military value."
--Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de
Guerre.
"Everything
that can be invented has been invented."
--Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899.
"640K
ought to be enough for anybody."
-- Bill Gates,
1981
"If
I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The
literature was full of examples that said you can't do this."
--Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M
"Post-It" Notepads.
"Who
the hell wants to hear actors talk?"
--H. M.
Warner, founder of Warner Brothers, in 1927
The
Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty
of messenger boys.
-- Sir William Preece, chief engineer of the
British Post Office, 1876
"Perception
is strong and sight weak. In strategy, it is important to see distant
things as if they were close and to take a distanced view of close
things."
-- Miyamoto Musashi, Japanese warrior
and strategist
"You
can't stop the waves, but you can learn to surf."
-- Jon Kabat-Zinn
"If
everyone is thinking alike then somebody isn't thinking."
-- General George Patton
"We
should all be concerned about the future because we will have to live
the rest of our lives there."
-- Charles
Kettering
"It
ain't so much the things you don't know that get you in trouble. It's
the things you know that just ain't so."
--
Artimus Ward, 1834-1867
"There
is nothing to be learned from history anymore. We're in science
fiction now."
-- Allen Ginsberg (1927 - 1997)
"How
are you going to respond when the Clock-Radio of Challenge emits the
Irritating Buzz of Opportunity? Are you going to roll over and hit
the Snooze Button of Complacency? Or are you going to wake up and,
after performing the Bodily Functions of Preparedness, boldly grasp
the Toothbrush
of Tomorrow?
-- Dave Barry
"Life
is what happens to you while you are making other plans."
-- A.J. Marshall
"The
next best thing to being witty one's self, is to be able to quote
another's wit."
-- Christian Nestell Bovee
(yeah... I know. Mike)
"A
new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and
making them see the light, but rather because its opponents
eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with
it."
-- Max Planck
"It
should be noted that the seeds of wisdom that are to bear fruit in
the intellect are sown less by critical studies and learned
monographs than by insights, broad impressions, and flashes of
intuition."
--Carl von Clausewitz
"You
got to be very careful if you don't know where you're going, because
you might not get there."
-- Yogi Berra
"The
shrewd guess, the fertile hypothesis, the courageous leap to a
tentative conclusion -- these are the most valuable coin of the
thinker at work. But in most schools guessing is heavily
penalized and is associated somehow with laziness."
-- Jerome S. Bruner ( b. 1915) U.S. psychologist, author, educational
reformer, in "The Process of Education"
"No
great discovery was ever made without a bold guess."
-- Sir Isaac Newton (1642-1727) English philosopher, mathematician
"As
far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not
certain, and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to
reality."
-- Albert Einstein (1879-1955)
German-born U.S. physicist
"Do
what you can with what you have where you are."
--Theodore Roosevelt
Gumperson's
Law: The probability of a given event occurring is inversely
proportional to its desirability.
On
great advances in human history:
"Do
not go where the path may lead, go instead where there is no path and
leave a trail."
--Ralph Waldo Emerson
"It
is impossible to express a really new principle in terms of a model
following old laws."
-- Max Planck (1858-1947)
Dan
Quayle:
"The
future will be better tomorrow."
"We
are ready for any unforeseen event that may or may not occur."
"I
am enough of an artist to draw freely upon my imagination.
Imagination is more important than knowledge. Knowledge is
limited. Imagination encircles the world."
--
Albert Einstein
"No
amount of advance planning will ever replace dumb luck."
--Anonymous
"If
you see a bandwagon, it's too late."
--Sir James
Goldsmith
"Some
men see things as they are and ask why. Others dream things that
never were and ask why not."
--George Bernard
Shaw
"The
world we have created today, as a result of our thinking thus far,
has created problems that cannot be solved by thinking the way we
thought when we created them."
-- Albert
Einstein
"Clever
people master life; the wise illuminate it and create fresh
difficulties."
-- Emil Nolde
"Science
is the orderly arrangement of what, at the moment, seem to be the
facts."
-- Anon.
"The
public have an insatiable curiousity to know everything. Except
what is worth knowing. Journalism, conscious of this, and
having tradesman-like habits, supplies their demands."
-- Oscar Wilde
"Everyone
takes the limits of his own vision for the limits of the world."
-- Arthur Schopenhauer
"Civilization
exists by geological consent, subject to change without notice."
-- Will Durant
"He
that will not apply new remedies must expect new evils; for time is
the greatest innovator."
-- Francis Bacon
"Telling
the future by looking at the past assumes that conditions remain
constant. This is like driving a car by looking in the rearview
mirror."
-- Herb Brody
"No
amount of sophistication is going to allay the fact that all your
knowledge is about the past and all your decisions are about the
future."
-- Ian E. Wilson
"Research
is to see what everybody else has seen, and to think what no one else
has thought."
-- Albert Szent-Gyorgyi
"Anyone
who thinks science fiction is about the future is being naive.
Science fiction doesn't predict the future; it determines it,
colonizes it, preprograms it in the image of the present."
-- William Gibson
"When
great changes occur in history, when great principles are involved,
as a rule the majority are wrong. The minority are right."
-- Eugene V. Debs, address to jury, September, 1918
"Corrigan
pointed to the resiliency of the financial and economic system over
the past decade despite acts of terrorism, a major war, and the
bursting of a stock market bubble. On the darker side, however, he
noted that financial and public actors essentially have no ability to
know or be able to predict the source of any future systemic shock.
He concluded that although the probability of a systemic shock is
lower now than in the past, the consequences of such a shock, if it
occurs, would be much greater; hence, the importance of building
better "shock absorbers" to contain any damage, which are
outlined in the report."
-- E. Gerald Corrigan
at the "Top Ten Financial Risks to the Global Economy Conference
held in New York on Sept 22-23, 2005 hosted by the Global markets
Institute of Goldman Sachs in co-operation with the Brookings
Institution, The Centre for Economic Policy Research, the Lee Kuan
Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore,
the School of Economics and management at Tsinghua University, and
the Financial Institutions Centre at the Wharton School at the
University of Pennsylvania.
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